Midseason Report
By Gabriel Baumgaertner
With the culmination of the first half of Pac-10 conference play, everything has been as unpredictable as many predicted. Uber-Freshmen O.J. Mayo and Kevin Love each had breakout games against Cal, Oregon continued its habit of losing to unranked teams on the road, and Arizona State has emerged from the last year’s loser to a contender this year. The Pac-10 is making its case for the strongest conference in the country, having had two teams in the top 5 and five in the top 25 as well as a winning record in the Pac-10/Big 12 challenge. UCLA’s dominance of Washington State appeared to solidify their position as the best in the conference, but a home loss to rival USC certainly has left the Pac-10 as jumbled as most anticipated.
Lute Olson is certainly a notable absence from the sidelines of the Pac-10 this season, and Arizona is playing as if they truly do miss their old coach. The Wildcats’ anointed future head coach, Kevin O’Neill, has the Cats playing very disciplined basketball, but it still feels as if they have not shown their true potential yet. With a team that boasts future top-10 picks in sophomore Chase Budinger and freshman Jerryd Bayless, many predicted the Cats would challenge UCLA and Washington State for Pac-10 supremacy, but instead they remain jumbled in the middle, three games out of first place. Budinger and Bayless have been consistently strong, but the questioned depth of ‘Zona has proved to be an issue, and the lack of contributions from talents Jordan Hill and Jawann McClellan has been nothing short of frustrating for Cats fans. A victory over Washington State shot Arizona back into the top 25, but a blowout loss at UCLA put them back into the unranked doldrums, a spot where Arizona basketball hardly ever lies. The loss of speedy point guard Nic Wise is another blow to the already undermanned Wildcats, making this upcoming tilt with rival Arizona State all the more interesting.
Arizona State was definitely the Cinderella story to begin Pac-10 play, winning their first four conference games after having won only one all of last year, but the Sun Devils have since drifted into insignificance, losing five consecutive games after a ten game winning streak. Much of the recent problems are attributed to the recently poor post play of junior Jeff Pendergraph, who started tremendously, but has since struggled. Pendergraph has shown glimmers of brilliance (26 points, 8 boards and 4 blocks in a road victory against Cal) but then shows tremendous futility (6 points and 1 rebound in an embarrassing 84-52 loss against UCLA). Freshmen James Harden and Ty Abbot continue to boast their great shooting potential, but defense has been a big question. Coach Herb Sendek clearly has his team headed in the right direction, but he must get his team out of this funk if they hope to reach the coveted NCAA Tournament.
Though the Bay has suffered from “missed opportunities”, there is no denying that Oregon has clearly been the most disappointing state in Pac-10 play this season. Evaluating the Oregon State Beavers is almost pointless, as their winless campaign in the Pac-10 appears to have no end in sight, having lost all but one conference game by ten points or more (the only non-double figure loss was a nine point loss to Washington). The firing of coach Jay John is just the beginning of what should be a giant revamping of the Beaver program. The only real talent the Beavers did have, center CJ Giles, was recently kicked off the team by interim coach Kevin Mouton, adding yet another embarrassing blemish to a team that is nothing short of disgraceful. While players were hardly unnerved by the loss of Giles (fellow starters Josh Tarver and Marcel Jones refused to answer what they thought of Giles being kicked off), Giles was probably their only chance of winning a conference game. While nobody enjoys seeing a team go winless, the Beavers will need to stage a major upset in order to avoid the goose egg.
Most expected the Beavers to finish in last place in the Pac-10, but few anticipated the struggles that the Oregon Ducks have endured this season. Ernie Kent’s squad was predicted by many to compete for the Pac-10 title and make a deep run in the NCAA Tournament, they now have to finish the season strongly to even hope for an NCAA Tournament berth. The Ducks recently snapped a four game losing streak with a victory over in-state rival Oregon State, but their play has been underwhelming at best. With key contributors Malik Hairston, Bryce Taylor, Tajuan Porter and Maarty Leunen returning from last year’s Elite Eight squad, Oregon was not expected to struggle with the likes of Washington, USC and Arizona State. The Ducks probably need to sweep the streaking Bay Area teams this weekend in order to help their tournament hopes, but they are going to need to improve their perimeter offense to make up for their complete lack of size. The only big man to do anything for the Ducks this season has been Joevan Catron, as 6′9 Maarty Leunen has not been as versatile as expected. The Ducks’ leading rebounder in several games has been the 6′6 Hairston, a testament to their rebounding issues. If Porter, Leunen and Taylor can return to their sharpshooting form, the Ducks will return to the top of the Pac-10.The Pac-10 has been touted by many as the best conference in the country, but only two teams have enjoyed the privilege of being in the top 5 in the country at some point this season.
The gritty Washington State Cougars do not boast any superstars in their lineup, but stifling defense and a molasses-paced offense have frustrated teams to no end. The Cougars limp into their home weekend series against the Los Angeles schools, having lost consecutive heartbreakers to Cal and Stanford last week. Though the losses sank the Cougars from second in the conference into a three way tie for third, few doubt the Cougars’ abilities. It is difficult to crown any single Cougar as the “best player” this year, as Derrick Low and Kyle Weaver are consistent scoring threats, but are very aware when to dish the ball to somebody like Daven Harmeling or Taylor Rochestie for a perimeter shot or inside to big Australian center Aron Baynes. The young Tony Bennett is certainly proving that he is an elite Pac-10 coach, not having superstars like Kevin Love, O.J. Mayo or Brook Lopez at his disposal. Despite their recent struggles, look for the Cougars to make a huge run come March.
While Pullman, Washington boasts a top 25 team with no superstars, Seattle appears to be a center for disappointing recruits. Jon Brockman, Quincy Pondexter, Ryan Appelby, Tim Morris is great on paper, apparently not so on the court. The Huskies are still a legitimate threat in the Pac-10, but continue to underachieve. The recent bright spot has been the play of reserve Venoy Overton and Brockman never fails to impress, but Pondexter has been a major disappointment, and Ryan Appelby has yet to find the deadly three point touch that torched the Pac-10 last year. Unless a major run is put together by the Huskies, the NIT looks to be a likely destination.
March 3rd, 2008 at 3:06 am
Should be interesting to see how the Pac-10 teams fare in the Tourney. Hopefully the Thursday/Saturday schedule style is beneficial in getting the conference prepared for those 2nd and Elite 8 games.